Are you Chubby FIRE — and what's your number?
Chubby FIRE is the comfortable middle of financial independence — more than a frugal budget, short of luxury. Type your spending and the calculator below resolves both questions at once: your tier, and your number. No sign-up, no gated answer.
Your number is just spending ÷ 4%. The date is set by what you invest each year — change the contribution and watch the line below move.
Tiers by annual spending, FIRE number at the current multiple. The band is the synthesized consensus — Chubby is the comfortable middle, roughly $80k–$150k of spending, about $2M–$4M invested.
Chubby number by annual spending
| Annual spending | Tier | FIRE number |
|---|---|---|
| $80,000/yr | Chubby | $2,000,000 |
| $100,000/yr | Chubby | $2,500,000 |
| $120,000/yryou | Chubby | $3,000,000 |
| $140,000/yr | Chubby | $3,500,000 |
| $150,000/yr | Fat | $3,750,000 |
The whole Chubby band at a 4% withdrawal rate — your number is simply spending ÷ 4%. Drop to a 3.5% rate for a longer horizon and every figure rises by about 14%.
What is Chubby FIRE?
Chubby FIRE is the comfortable middle of the FIRE spectrum — financial independence with room to breathe, but short of luxury. It sits between Lean FIRE (full independence on a frugal budget) and Fat FIRE (independence with no spending constraints). In practice it means a household spending roughly $80,000 to $150,000 a year, backed by a portfolio of about $2M to $4M.
The confusing part is that nobody agrees on the band. You'll find Chubby defined as $60k–$100k of spending in one place and $100k–$200k in another; net-worth targets range from $1.5M to $5M. That ambiguity is exactly why the calculator above leads with a clear answer: type your spending, and it resolves both questions at once — are you Chubby, and what's your number?
Chubby on the FIRE spectrum
FIRE isn't one finish line — it's a spectrum of how much you spend in retirement, and therefore how big a portfolio you need. Chubby is the friendly middle: more than a lean, bare-bones budget, but well short of the fat, no-limits version.
| Tier | Annual spend | FIRE number (25× / 4%) |
|---|---|---|
| Lean | < $40k | under ~$1M |
| Regular FIRE | $40k – $80k | $1M – $2M |
| Chubbychubby | ~$80k – $150k | ~$2M – $4M |
| Fat | $150k + | $5M + |
Sources disagree on the exact band — you'll see $60k–$100k, $80k–$150k, and $100k–$200k quoted. These are the synthesized middle. The spectrum by the calculator lights up your tier as you change spending.
Including the regular-FIRE row matters — Chubby is what you get when an ordinary FIRE budget grows into a genuinely comfortable one. The biggest comparison, Chubby vs Fat, is below.
How to calculate your Chubby FIRE number
There's only one formula, and it's the same 25× rule behind every flavor of FIRE — your annual spending divided by a safe withdrawal rate:
To get the date, project what you have invested forward at your expected return, adding your annual contribution each year, until the balance reaches that number:
- Spends$120,000 / year
- Chubby number (25× at 4%)$3,000,000
- Invested today$200,000
- Invests each year$40,000
- 10% return − 3% inflationr ≈ 6.8%
- Reaches $3.0M in≈ 23 years
Switch the withdrawal rate to 3.5% and the target climbs to $3.43M — about 25 years on the same contributions. A lower rate buys a longer-lasting portfolio at the cost of a bigger number. Raise the contribution and that date pulls in fast.
How much you actually need
At a 4% withdrawal rate, a Chubby budget lands between $2M and $3.75M ($80k–$150k of spending × 25). Want a longer safety margin? A 3.5% rate — the long-horizon convention for someone retiring in their 40s or 50s with a 40+ year runway — lifts the same band to roughly $2.3M–$4.3M (× 28.6). The toggle on the calculator switches between the two live.
Single vs. couple. The number is driven by spending, not headcount — so a couple spending $120k together needs the same $3M as a solo spender at $120k. Couples often land in Chubby naturally: two people sharing housing and overhead spend less per person, but their combined comfortable budget pushes the household into the $80k–$150k range. Two incomes also tend to reach the number years sooner.
Watching your net worth climb toward a $3M target for years is the hard part. That's what the app is for.See the app →Chubby FIRE vs. Fat FIRE
This is the comparison that actually keeps people up at night, because it's the one with real lifestyle stakes. Chubby FIRE is a comfortable-but-considered life: nice travel, a paid-off house, no anxiety about a restaurant bill — but you still notice a $40k splurge. Fat FIRE removes the last constraint: first-class everything, a second home, giving at scale — and a number to match, typically $5M and up.
The gap is enormous in time, not just dollars. Moving your target spending from $120k to $200k roughly doubles the wait on the same savings — which is why most people who think they want Fat FIRE discover Chubby buys back the years that matter.
Who Chubby FIRE is for — and who it isn't
It fits people who want a genuinely comfortable retirement without chasing the biggest possible number — high earners and diligent savers who could push toward Fat FIRE but would rather reclaim a decade of their life. It's the pragmatic target for a dual-income household that lives well but not lavishly.
It's a weaker fit if your spending genuinely requires a Fat budget (don't under-target your real life), or if a Lean approach would get you free years sooner and you'd happily live on less. And the standard caveat applies harder the earlier you retire: sequence-of-returns risk — a market crash in your first few retired years does outsized damage — which is exactly why a 3.5% rate, or a cash buffer, is worth considering for a long Chubby runway.
- A genuinely comfortable life — no constant budgeting.
- Reached years earlier than Fat FIRE on the same income.
- Room to absorb surprises a Lean budget can't.
- Flexible: trim spending in a bad year and the plan holds.
- A $2M–$4M number takes real time and income to build.
- Less margin than Fat FIRE if costs balloon late in life.
- Sequence-of-returns risk over a long early-retirement runway.
- Healthcare before Medicare is a real line item to plan for.
How the math works
One model, in today's dollars. The number is rate arithmetic; the date projects your portfolio forward at your expected return, adding your contribution each year until it reaches the target. Every figure is a field you can change.
- 25× rule — FIRE number = annual spending ÷ SWR; a 4% rate is 25×, 3.5% is 28.6×.
- 4% default safe withdrawal rate — the Trinity Study baseline; toggle 3.5% for a longer horizon.
- 10% default expected return, netted against 3% inflation — a real return of about 6.8%, so the number and the projection both stay in today's dollars; dial to 7% for a conservative case.
- Tier bands — Lean < $40k · Regular $40–80k · Chubby $80–150k · Fat $150k+, the synthesized consensus.
- All figures are pre-tax and in today's dollars. The number and the projection share one axis.
Educational, not financial advice. Markets don't return a steady 10%, sequence-of-returns risk is real over a long early-retirement runway, and your result will differ. Use this to build intuition and frame the question — not as a plan to act on without your own judgment or a professional's.
Size the number here. Watch it close in the app.
This page resolves the Chubby question — your tier, your number, your date. The app does the other half: it tracks your real net worth against your FIRE number over time, so you can watch the gap close as your accounts actually grow.
- Net worth vs. your FIRE number — every account against the target, tracked over time.
- Spending → 25× → projection — the same core math, kept live as you log real balances.
- Check in and watch the trend — FIRE stops being a one-time guess.
Straight talk: the app has no SWR slider and no Lean/Chubby/Fat flavor concept — that band-resolution math lives here, on this page. The app is for tracking your number and net worth over time, not for modelling Chubby FIRE specifically.

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