FIRE CALCULATOR

What's your FIRE number — and what year do you hit it?

Most calculators answer one or the other. This one does both: your financial-independence number, and the date you reach it. Enter four numbers; the answer is below, instantly.

YOUR NUMBERS
Investment returnExpected average annual return before inflation. 10% is the long-run U.S. stock-market average with dividends; lower it if you hold bonds or want to be cautious.10%
InflationHow fast prices rise each year. We subtract it from your return so every number on the page stays in today's dollars.3%
Safe withdrawal rateThe share of your portfolio you can withdraw each year in retirement without running out. 4% is the Trinity Study baseline; a lower rate means a bigger FIRE number.4%
Real return after inflation: 6.8%Savings rate: 23%
YOUR FIRE NUMBER
$1,250,000
You're 21 years from financial independence.
Years to FI21
You hit it in2047
Your savings rate23%

Your savings rate is the single biggest lever — it moves your FI date far more than your investment return does. Watch it in the curve below.

NET WORTH ON THE WAY TO FI
$0$500K$1M$1.5M$2M303540455051AGE →FIRE NUMBER · $1.25MFI · 2047 · age 51
Your net worthFIRE number
SAVINGS RATE → YEARS TO FI

Drag the curve. This is the relationship that decides everything.

010203040YRS10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%SAVINGS RATE →YOU23% → 21 yrs

Drag across the curve. At your current 23% rate you reach FI in 21 years. Push the rate up — spend less, save the difference — and the line drops fast.

GO DEEPERThis page answers the question once. The app tracks the gap as your accounts grow and lets you test real scenarios.Get FIRE Projection →

FIRE number by age

TARGET $1.25M
AgeYears to 65On-track invested
2540$90,093
30you35$125,161
3530$173,879
4025$241,559
4520$335,584
5015$466,206
5510$647,672
605$899,772
650$1,250,000

What you'd need invested at each age for it to grow into your $1,250,000 FIRE number by 65 with no further contributions — your “on track” milestone. Already there at your age? That's Coast FIRE →

THE ANSWER, FIRST

What is FIRE — and what's my number?

FIRE — Financial Independence, Retire Early — is the point where your invested money can cover your living costs indefinitely, so paid work becomes optional. Your FIRE number is the size that portfolio needs to be. The shortcut is the 25× rule: multiply your annual spending by 25 (the inverse of a 4% withdrawal rate). Spend $50,000 a year and your FIRE number is $1.25M.

The second question — when do you get there — is just as answerable, and most calculators skip it. Take what you have invested, grow it at a realistic after-inflation return, add what you save each month, and find the year the balance reaches your number. The calculator above does both at once: your number, and the date. Change any input and watch both move.

The 25× rule tells you how big. Your savings rate tells you how soon.
THE MATH

How to calculate your FIRE number

One formula gets you the number — the 25× rule, the inverse of a 4% safe withdrawal rate:

FIRE number=Annual spending × 25
4% SWR → 25×  ·  3.5% → ~29×  ·  5% → 20×

To get the date, project your balance forward at your real (after-inflation) return, adding your monthly savings as you go, until it reaches that number:

Balanceₙ=Assets × (1 + r)n + Savings × [(1+r)n−1] / r
r = real return after inflationn = years until the balance reaches your FIRE number
WORKED EXAMPLE
  • Spends$50,000 / year
  • FIRE number (25×)$1,250,000
  • Invested today$150,000
  • Invests each month (a 23% rate)$1,250
  • 10% return − 3% inflationr ≈ 6.8%
  • Reaches $1.25M in≈ 21 years

At $1,250 a month (a 23% savings rate), a $150K head start reaches $1.25M in about 21 years. Push it to $2,500 a month and that drops to ~16. The savings rate, not the return, is doing the work.

THE LANDSCAPE

Lean, Coast, Barista & Fat FIRE

FlavorThe ideaRough target
Lean FIREFull independence on a frugal budget — lower spending, smaller number, reached sooner.25× of a lean budget
Coast FIREStop contributing; let existing investments grow into the full number on their own.A fraction of 25×, today
Barista FIREPart-time work covers some spending; investments cover the rest.~10–20× spending
Fat FIREFull independence with room to spend freely — a bigger budget, a bigger number.25× of a generous budget

Lean and Fat describe how much you want; Coast and Barista describe how you get there. They combine — you can coast toward a fat number, or barista your way through a lean one. The calculator above is the standard, full-FIRE case.

Want to test a leaner budget, a career change, or a market dip against your own numbers? That's what the app is for.See the app →
WHAT ASSUMPTIONS THIS USES
  • 10% nominal investment return — the long-run U.S. equity average, before inflation.
  • 3% inflation — netting a real return of about 6.8%, so projections stay in today's dollars.
  • 4% safe withdrawal rate — the Trinity Study baseline for a 30-year retirement.
  • 25× rule — annual spending × 25 is the inverse of a 4% withdrawal.
  • All figures are pre-tax and in today's dollars. Every slider above is yours to change.

Full method, sources and caveats: the FIRE Projection methodology →

Educational, not financial advice. Markets don't return a steady 10%, sequence-of-returns risk is real, and your result will differ. Use this to build intuition — not as a plan to act on without your own judgment or a professional's.

QUESTIONS

FIRE calculator FAQ

What is my FIRE number?
It's the size your invested portfolio needs to reach so that a safe withdrawal covers your spending forever. The quick version: annual spending × 25. Spend $40,000 a year and your FIRE number is $1,000,000.
Why multiply spending by 25?
25× is the inverse of a 4% withdrawal rate (1 ÷ 0.04 = 25). The 4% rule comes from the Trinity Study, which found a portfolio could sustain ~4% annual withdrawals over a 30-year retirement. Use a lower rate for a longer horizon — the calculator lets you.
How is the FI date calculated?
We grow your current investments at a real (after-inflation) return, add your monthly savings as you go (compounding monthly), and find the first year the balance reaches your FIRE number. Because everything is in today's dollars, the target stays fixed and the date is honest.
Why does the savings rate matter so much?
Because it works both ends at once: saving more grows your balance faster and means you spend less, which lowers the FIRE number you're aiming at. That's why the savings-rate curve bends so sharply — and why it's the single biggest lever you control.
What return should I assume?
10% nominal (≈6.8% after 3% inflation) reflects the long-run U.S. stock-market average. If you hold bonds or want to be conservative, lower the slider to 7–8% nominal. Over decades the figure you pick matters enormously — try a few.
Does this include Social Security, a pension, or taxes?
No. It's a pure investment projection in pre-tax, today's dollars. Guaranteed income like Social Security reduces what your portfolio must cover, so treating it as a bonus keeps the estimate conservative. Account for your own tax situation separately.
What's the difference between FIRE and Coast FIRE?
FIRE means your portfolio already covers your spending — you can stop working. Coast FIRE means it will get there on its own by your target age, so you can stop saving while you keep working to cover today's costs.
How often should I recalculate?
Once a year, or after any big change — a raise, a move, a market swing. Inputs drift, and so does your date. Tracking it over time, rather than checking once, is what the app is built for.